Tankathon
NBA
NFL
NHL
MLB
WNBA
MLB Home
Pick Odds
Remaining SOS

2026 MLB Draft Lottery Odds 3z7258

Base odds shown do not for certain teams being ineligible to pick better than 10th.
Team 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Avg
1
16.5 15.6 14.5 13.2 11.6 9.7 19.0 3.9
2
16.5 15.6 14.5 13.2 11.6 9.7 16.2 2.8 4.0
3
16.5 15.6 14.5 13.2 11.6 9.7 13.7 5.0 0.3 4.0
4
13.2 13.1 12.9 12.4 11.7 10.6 15.7 9.0 1.2 >0.0 4.4
5
10.0 10.3 10.6 10.9 11.1 11.0 16.5 15.7 3.6 0.2 >0.0 5.0
6
7.5 8.0 8.5 9.1 9.8 10.4 12.9 23.3 9.3 1.2 >0.0 >0.0 5.7
7
5.5 6.0 6.5 7.2 8.0 9.1 5.9 26.6 20.3 4.5 0.4 >0.0 >0.0 6.5
8
3.9 4.3 4.8 5.4 6.2 7.3 17.5 33.9 14.6 2.1 0.1 >0.0 >0.0 7.4
9
2.7 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.6 5.5 31.4 35.0 9.7 0.9 >0.0 >0.0 8.4
10
1.8 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.9 44.4 33.0 6.3 0.4 >0.0 >0.0 9.5
11
1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.5 3.1 54.9 28.6 3.9 0.2 >0.0 >0.0 10.5
12
1.1 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.5 64.0 23.7 2.3 0.1 >0.0 11.5
13
0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 71.9 18.7 1.2 >0.0 >0.0 12.5
14
0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 78.9 13.6 0.6 >0.0 >0.0 13.5
15
0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 85.1 9.1 0.2 >0.0 14.5
16
0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 90.4 5.2 >0.0 15.5
17
0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 94.6 2.1 16.6
18
0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 97.9 17.7
Determining the MLB Draft Order
1
Picks 1-6 are determined by a weighted lottery drawing of non-playoff teams
2
Teams receiving revenue sharing cannot be selected in the lottery more than two years in a row
3
Teams paying revenue sharing cannot be selected in the lottery in consecutive years
4
Picks 7-18 are the remaining lottery teams, ordered by winning percentage
5
Playoff teams are grouped by the round in which they are eliminated, with revenue sharing recipients picking first
6
Teams eliminated in the Wild Card Round get picks 19-22
7
Teams eliminated in the Divisional Round get picks 23-26
8
Teams eliminated in the League Championship Series get picks 27-28
9
World Series loser gets pick 29
10
World Series winner gets pick 30
11
Ties are broken using the previous year's standings, with worse record winning the tiebreaker
12
If a team fails to sign their pick, they are awarded a compensatory pick in the next draft (one spot worse than the unsigned pick)